
Big John, a card shark, puts three cards face down on a table. One of the cards is an ace; the other two are face cards. You place a finger on one of the cards, betting that this card is the ace. The probability that you've picked the ace is clearly 1/3. Big John now secretly peeks at each card. Because there is only one ace among the three cards, at least one of the cards you didn't choose must be a face card. Big John turns over this card and shows it to you. What is the probability that your finger is now on the ace?

Edited by soot (02/12/12 10:34 PM)
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